Predict & Play

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Each scenario gives you the facts and a policy change or shock. Predict which way the economy moves — then play it out and see if you were right. Some are simulated; some are real history.

🎛️ Simulation Beginner

The Fed Raises Rates

Inflation is running a bit hot. The Federal Reserve decides to raise its policy interest rate sharply to cool the economy down.

🎛️ Simulation Beginner

Big Government Stimulus

Congress passes a large spending bill to build roads, bridges and broadband, without raising taxes to pay for it.

🎛️ Simulation Intermediate

Oil Price Shock

War in an oil-producing region cuts global supply. Oil and energy prices jump 120%.

🎛️ Simulation Intermediate

A Pandemic Hits

A severe pandemic forces businesses to close and people to stay home. Confidence collapses.

🎛️ Simulation Intermediate

Printing Money

A government pressures its central bank to create money to pay its bills. The money supply grows 40% per year.

🎛️ Simulation Beginner

Across-the-Board Tax Cut

Congress cuts taxes significantly but does not cut spending.

🎛️ Simulation Advanced

Easy Credit Housing Boom

Banks loosen lending standards dramatically, offering mortgages to almost anyone, while the Fed keeps rates low.

🎛️ Simulation Intermediate

A Tariff War

The country raises tariffs on all imports to 25%, and trading partners retaliate, slowing the global economy.

📜 Real history Advanced

History: The Volcker Shock (1979–1982)

August 1979: inflation is above 11% and rising. New Fed Chair Paul Volcker decides to crush inflation, pushing interest rates toward 20%.

📜 Real history Beginner

History: After the 1929 Crash

October 1929: the stock market crashes. Banks begin to fail, and the Fed does little to stop the money supply from shrinking.

📜 Real history Intermediate

History: The 2020 Pandemic Recession

February 2020: COVID-19 spreads. States issue stay-at-home orders. Congress passes the $2.2 trillion CARES Act and the Fed cuts rates to zero.

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